Getting
off the road to mediocrity
In his bid for reelection, Malaysian Prime Minister Najib
Razak has dispended with all shame. Vote for me, he has essentially declared,
or Malaysia will suffer “catastrophic
ruin” and an “Arab Winter” of the kind that has undone economies from Egypt to
Libya.
Both warnings are ludicrous-signs of how worried Najib’s
National Front coalition is of losing
power for the first time since 1957. They speak to the desperation of a
government that has come to serve itself, not Malaysia’s 29 million people. And
they are emblematic of a leader whose talk of bold change hasn’t been matched
by action.
Najib’s claim is this: giving the opposition, led by
former finance minister Anwar Ibrahim, a chance to lead on May 5 would reverse
all the gains Malaysia has made since the 2008 financial crisis. The economy
would crater, stocks and the currency would plunge, and chaos would reign.
Change trough the ballot box in a democracy should never
be disruptive or chaotic, and rhetoric
suggesting otherwise is disingenuous. Najib likes to say: “ the time has come
for Malaysians to make decision”. Actually, the time has come for Malaysia’s
government to grow up.
Najib’s scaremongering, some of which came out of an April 17 Bloomberg News interview, smacks of
the re-election campaign run almost a decade ago by then US President George
W.Bush. Instead of this vote-for-me-you’re-in-danger appeal, Najib should scare
up some headline-grabbing reform that leave Malaysia better off in the future.
The country’s biggest problem is complacency. Malaysia
Inc. can be a slow-moving, change-resistant animal in a very dynamic
neighborhood. Nation as diverse as China, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand
and Vietnam are evolving in ways that have enable them to leapfrog peers
in a few years. They are all competing
for the same infrastructure dollars, factory project, bond deals and stock
issues. Singapore, meanwhile, has become the beneficiary of many of Malaysia’s
big and brightest, who have emigrated in search of a more merit-based economy.
Malaysia is a resource-rich nation with huge potential.
But it remains shackled to a four-decade-old affirmative-action
program-favoring ethnic Malays-that turns off foreign investors and undermines
national productivity.
This so-called “new economic policy” was devised by
Najib’s father, Abdul Razak Hussein, the country’s second prime minister.
Najib, 59 has indeed rolled back some of those
preferences to encourage investment. He did away with a requirement that
foreign companies investing in Malaysia and locally listed businesses set aside
30 percent of their equity for ethnic Malays and indigenous peoples known as
“bumiputera”. It’s time to go much further and dismantle all race-based
policies.
When, for example, can more ethnic Chinese expect to
start winning the really big government contracts? Here, Najib’s real quarrel
may be with his own government. Anwar is pro-markets and pro-investment , too.
When you look at the core of what Najib is promising voters-less corruption and
higher living standards-it’s not wildly different from the opposition’s message.
The trouble is, Najib is navigating a 13-party coalition whose interest are
entrenched as any in the world. His partners are pushing back quite
assertively, afraid of losing the Malay vote they could once take for granted.
The opposition has gained traction with its claims that
Malay-run companies, from power producers to toll-road operators, unfairly
benefit from their ties to the government. Najib’s pledges to clamp down on
crony capitalism and to instill greater transparency have been undercut by
measures such as the ban on the street protest that passed on his watch.
Now, many voters hope to wipe the slate clean.
When he’s not trying to frighten voters, Najib is touting
Malaysia’s 6,4 percent growth as proof he is a radical-change agent. In fact,
much of Southeast Asia also is booming and the government is helping to
artificially fuel growth with populist handout.
Even more than the US$444 billion of private sector-led
projects ranging from oil storage to a masstransit railway that Najib has championed, the
country needs reforms that will revitalize the system as whole. The government
should be encouraging more startup companies, widening the tax base and hacking
away at subsidies that institutionalize complacency.
All too often, rapid gross-domestic-product growth is
used as a smoke screen to hide underlying cracks in a economy’s long-run
potential. In Malaysia’s case, the numbers mask a government too focused on
staying In power to do its job. If anything should be scaring Malaysian voters,
it’s that.
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